Investing Tools for Investors Looking to Excel
10/21/02  

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A framework to determine if trading securities for your own account is right for you

Investment Matrix- What's Right for You!

Profile

High Liquid Net Worth, 40 Year Old, Ex- Stunt Pilot, Investor for 10 years, Technically Proficient

50 Year Old School Teacher, Retired, Small $500,000 Net Worth, Tight Budget

67 Year Old Retired Salesman, With $1 million liquid net worth and passion for golf.

Ex-Stock Broker, Retired, $1,000,000 liquid net worth.

Time to Commit

10

5

5

7

Business Experience

10

2

8

8

Risk Threshold

10

1

5

5

Time Horizon in Years

10

10

5

3

Ability to Accept & Realize a Loss

10

1

3

2

Amount You Can Afford to Lose w/o jeopardizing retirement & lifestyle

10

1

3

3

Investment Experience, particularly Technical Analysis

10

1

2

5

  70 21 31 33

Each Category is rated from 1 to 10. 1 is a little to none while 10 is a large amount, say, of time, or long term time horizon or amount you can afford to lose without jeopardizing your lifestyle and retirement. If you score 60 to 70, you might be able to tolerate day trading from a financial and emotional perspective, but you still should never commit more than 40% of your liquid net worth to this roller coaster. If you rate less than 60, but more than 50, you might trade an even lower portion of your liquid net worth. Scores of less than 50 and you should not day trade.

The lower your score, the more important it is to proceed safely and comfortably. If you have the money to lose, but not the time, business experience, or investment experience, better to dollar cost average in quality mutual funds.  You must have the time, the money, the tolerance, the technique, the ability to take losses, and the experience to be successful. Mix a good value, a good growth with some small capitalization exposure, and put 10% in a good international fund and say 5% to an emerging market fund.

You can profile yourself pretty quickly and see where you stand. The safest course is dollar cost averaging (putting the money in the market as you have it) and diversifying through mutual funds and letting the money accumulate.

The least safe approach is day trading. The less you know, the less you have to lose, the worse your experience will be. Don't get your thrills exposing hard earned money to losses for the thrill of it. Find a sport that turns you on and satisfies your animal urges.

If you want to invest, look at companies that are by-products of rigorous analysis by you or your trusted financial advisors, who have earned your faith over a period of time with consistent performance, with disruptions consistent with your risk threshold.   Finding companies that are thematically correct, technically attractive, and which have exhibited superior growth with continuing momentum, but are nevertheless affordable is a wonderful way to combine investing styles to unearth the true long term buy and holds. Be rigorous and demanding. Make your investment candidates pass as many tests as possible to get into your portfolio. 

If you want to buy individual securities, but scored low on your self-evaluation, make sure you stay diversified. One stock should not exceed 5% of your portfolio. Further, you should beware of industry or sector concentration. In other words, no matter how seemingly attractive a sector might be at a particular point in time, you should insure that no one industry is too overweighting vs its market weighting. For instance, internet stocks should represent more than 15% of your portfolio, no matter how convinced you are it will succeed.  While attractive at one point in time, BioTecs, Restaurants, sectors in technology, and, yes, even the Internet (many cut in half) serve to vividly illustrate the risks of concentration. Concentrated portfolios can outperform only to really underperform later.

Look at ChartWinners.com for ideas you should consider if you want to select individual securities. Try trading a paper portfolio and see how you perform and how you feel. While a simulated exercise, you should make the experience as real as possible and keep detailed records. Make sure you have a strong reason to buy, sell, hold, or short. Good luck.

 

 

Constructing Portfolios- New Money

Big Cap
GARP
Value/Turnaround
Momentum
Portfolio Results

Trading/ Technical Analysis Center

What is Technical Analysis?
Breakouts and Breakdowns
Trendlines and Moving Averages
Trend Reversals
Detrending Oscillators
Chart Patterns
Great Patterns to Buy
Great Patterns to Short
Trending vs. Trading Stocks
Swing Rule
Trading Relative Strength
Industry Sectors

Past Trading Results

 

 

 

 

Disclaimer

The information presented in this site is for your informational, educational and entertainment purposes. Investing involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. Nothing contained herein should be construed as a warranty of investment results. All risks, losses, and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. Any advice or information contained in this site which you act on should be screened through your personal financial representative or broker. It is possible that any member of our staff will have a position in the stocks discussed within this site.

All information is the property of UOutPerform.com, OffTheGraph.com, and ChartWinners.com and should not be reproduced, copied, redistributed, transferred, or sold without the written consent of UOutPerform.com. All rights reserved.