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10/21/02  

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Great Patterns to Short

Double Tops aka 1-2-3's- This pattern is worth digging for. First, we have a failed retest of an old high, followed by a uptrend line break, followed by a break below the neckline or the bottom defined by process of creating the double top. 

2 Month Breakdown from Base- This is a patterns where you have a sideways pattern for 10 to 20 days and a break below this trading range. You want to see a wide trading range on the breakdown and  a close at the bottom of the wide range. A break below a sideways pattern with a close at the top of the range which penetrates back into the trading range can be a buy signal. 

 Retracements back to downtrending 50 day moving average and failure- Here's the chart. Downtrending stocks will repeat this pattern frequently on the way down to whatever base they will ultimately establish. 

Overbought Stocks Breaking Below the 50 Day Average- This is normally a good pattern where the stock will normally retreat back to the next major moving average which would be the 150 day moving average. Be very careful not to short a stock into immediate support or long term uptrends. They can abort a decline and ruin your position. This one looks like it does not get to support until the upper 40's. This is a pretty good double top, as well. 

1-2-3-4's This is a pattern that is a counter trend reversal that fails. If you are looking to buy a stock but it has plunged (but you think it has more downside potential), you will want to look for a pullback that does that does not violate a downtrend or downward sloping 50 day moving average. You would enter the short after the 4th day, looking for an open price 1/8 below the prior day close. 

The 4th day is an inside day that trades inside the high and low of the prior day. I like to see it close at the bottom of the inside day range. 

 

 

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What is Technical Analysis?
Breakouts and Breakdowns
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